Is it bad luck, or bad skill!!

In addition to the comments below, I just wonder how many seats are in the
money, or in prize position for these tourneys. I mean, you played four
tourneys and lost them. That may not indicate bad skill, and may not be
worse than average luck either.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems to me that if 10% of the players in
a tourney wind up in the money, and you wind up there 15% of the time,
then you're a GREAT player. As such, you should expect to lose a hell of
a lot of tourneys. Four in a row's not much. If you're worse than
average, and only get there 6% of the time, then it might take you a long
time to figure that out and recognize the difference between bad luck and
bad skill, because there definitely long runs of good and bad luck for
everyone.

But then, who knows, maybe there are super duper players who wind up in
the money most of the time. I sincerely doubt this is the case at fast
paced crap shoots that end in a few hours. Maybe in longer events.

Does anyone have any insight into how often the pros end up in the money,
assuming that 10% or fewer players get there? Is there a significant
difference in performance between fast paced crap shoots, day long events,
and very long events like the WSOP main event?

By pros, I don't necessarily mean the worlds top, highest profile players
like Chan, Men the Master, or Brunson, though it would be interesting to
know what their records are also.

On Aug 29 2003 2:45PM, Gary Carson wrote:

> On Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:31:31 GMT, "Eric Lindholm"
>
> >
> >2. Why is it that you were the smaller stack in each of the hands you
> >described?
>
> Exactly.
>
> And, the fact that the poster thinks his being the favorite in those
> hands meant he busted out just because of bad luck implies to me that
> he doesn't understand tournaments and busted out becuase of mistakes.
>
> The last hand didn't bust you out. You busted out on those hands
> because you bled chips on previous hands and put yourself in a short
> stack situation. The mistakes were made on previous hands. Probably
> a lot of them.

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