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Bad skill or bad luck ??

 
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Paul L. Schwartz

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Since: Aug 02, 2007
Posts: 20



(Msg. 61) Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2007 1:32 pm
Post subject: Re: Bad skill or bad luck ?? [Login to view extended thread Info.]
Archived from groups: rec>gambling>poker (more info?)

On Sep 26, 2:11 pm, pokertripps <pokertri... DeleteThis @gmail.com> wrote:
> If you have a 90 % chance of winning is it bad luck that you lost ?
>
> I wouldnt call it "bad luck" but more the fact of you fell into the
> other 10 percent category.
>
> Just because the odds are heavily in your favor does not help the fact
> that "X" amount of time you WILL lose.


Poker is like flipping a coin for $50 followed by playing chess for
$1. In the short term I might be able to beat Gary Kasparov for a few
hundred dollars playing this game. In the long term Kasparov will get
all the money.

Paul

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pokertripps

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Since: Sep 26, 2007
Posts: 13



(Msg. 62) Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2007 4:45 pm
Post subject: Re: Bad skill or bad luck ?? [Login to view extended thread Info.]
Archived from groups: per prev. post (more info?)

If you have a 90 % chance of winning is it bad luck that you lost ?

I wouldnt call it "bad luck" but more the fact of you fell into the
other 10 percent category.

Just because the odds are heavily in your favor does not help the fact
that "X" amount of time you WILL lose.





LIJ
http://www.pokertripps.com

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Kenneth Sloan

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Since: Jan 14, 2007
Posts: 401



(Msg. 63) Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2007 5:02 pm
Post subject: Re: Bad skill or bad luck ?? [Login to view extended thread Info.]
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Paul L. Schwartz wrote:
> On Sep 26, 2:11 pm, pokertripps <pokertri... DeleteThis @gmail.com> wrote:
>> If you have a 90 % chance of winning is it bad luck that you lost ?
>>
>> I wouldnt call it "bad luck" but more the fact of you fell into the
>> other 10 percent category.
>>
>> Just because the odds are heavily in your favor does not help the fact
>> that "X" amount of time you WILL lose.
>
>
> Poker is like flipping a coin for $50 followed by playing chess for
> $1. In the short term I might be able to beat Gary Kasparov for a few
> hundred dollars playing this game. In the long term Kasparov will get
> all the money.
>
> Paul
>
>

Love the analogy. It works if you extend it downward: suppose no one at
the table is particularly good at chess? Then, it's all luck...until
Kasparov sits down.

I might quibble with the numbers. Perhaps flipping a coin for $50 and
playing chess for $10.

or, perhaps somewhere in-between...




--
Kenneth Sloan KennethRSloan DeleteThis @gmail.com
Computer and Information Sciences +1-205-932-2213
University of Alabama at Birmingham FAX +1-205-934-5473
Birmingham, AL 35294-1170 http://www.cis.uab.edu/sloan/
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Gary Carson

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Since: Aug 13, 2007
Posts: 1609



(Msg. 64) Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2007 5:45 pm
Post subject: Re: Bad skill or bad luck ?? [Login to view extended thread Info.]
Archived from groups: per prev. post (more info?)

On Sep 26 2007 3:11 PM, pokertripps wrote:

> If you have a 90 % chance of winning is it bad luck that you lost ?
>
> I wouldnt call it "bad luck" but more the fact of you fell into the
> other 10 percent category.
>
> Just because the odds are heavily in your favor does not help the fact
> that "X" amount of time you WILL lose.
>

Just because the odds are heavily in your favor does not mean the odds are in
favor of your winning the pot

Gary Carson
http://www.garycarson.com



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